A phenomenal guest essay by
@WhitneyEpi on how she navigated the uncertain early pandemic environment to decide whether to send her kids to childcare. A central tension in epidemiology, how to pick questions, observed vs. expected, sticky priors and more! https://www.theinsight.org/p/how-one-epidemiologist-decided-whether …pic.twitter.com/qct4p55rUR
Her THOUGHT PROCESS is way more important than the particular choice she made.
Indeed. That's why I love this essay.
It's a good article. Not every environment could be relied on to be as diligent, and there was also likely a strong benefit from other families not attending. It was a hard decision to make last year, especially with test/trace so poor, and very little evidence re kids.